
How long will humans be needed for translation?
AI dominates the translation business, but for high-stakes work, humans are still needed.
The wire
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AI dominates the translation business, but for high-stakes work, humans are still needed.

Sometimes, you come across a brief note that basically says all there is to say about a topic.
Cloud seeding is gaining attention as countries look to boost rainfall - will drones help?
AI risk; Reindustrialization; The rent crisis; AI and jobs; Mass deportation; Chinese investment; Cyber risk
Will farmers want AI tools to help judge when to pick fruit, or is their own intuition enough?
Imagine joining a startup as employee number 10. Your salary is a bit below what the market pays for your role, but, in exchange, you get equity. How much? 0.25% of the company to be exact. You do the math in your head—if the company sells for $100M in a few years, you'll make $250,000. Not bad, right? Wrong, and for quite a few reasons. Once you take into account how startup equity typically…
I don't know if AI is going to destroy humanity. Neither do you. But here's what I do know: It's very difficult to have a sober conversation about this when there's so much money at stake. www.axios.com/2026/09/11/d...
Foreword: I wrote and posted this piece on August 20, 2026, with the promise that I would listen to feedback and try to respond and incorporate ideas and suggestions. To keep this promise, I will edit this piece over time and reflect the changes I make. Original post: August 20, 2026 First update: August 21, 2026 - Updated AI TAM table to make explicit implications of AI market size for other…
Earlier this year, I was asked what I thought about Leopold Aschenbrenner and I admitted that I knew little about him other than what I had read about him, more in social media, than in the press - that he was a 25-year-old wunderkind who had started at OpenAI but had left to start a hedge fund. That hedge fund, built entirely around a bet that AI would pay off big time and near term, buying…
When Chat GPT made its debut on November 30, 2022, it unleashed the hype of AI, and in the three years since, AI has taken on an outsized role not just in markets, but also in our lives. For much of the time, the AI story has been told by its advocates and its salespeople, and the companies in the AI ecosystem have benefited. Not surprisingly, given that its narrators benefit from this growth…
Trump spoke for 108 minutes on Tuesday night. Mentioned AI only twice. Less than 2% of his wordcount. Elected officials are largely ignoring a revolution that will change all Americans' lives and jobs, well beyond electricity prices. www.axios.com/2026/02/26/t...
"This is ground zero for the thorny politics of income inequality, which will become more pervasive as the AI revolution mints more billionaires and costs "normies" their jobs." www.axios.com/2026/01/05/c...